書名:Global Capital Markets:Integration, Crisis, and Growth
作者:Maurice Obstfeld and Alan M. Taylor
目錄:
Part One: Preamble 1
1 Global Capital Markets: Overview and Origins 4
Part Two: Global Capital in Modern Historical Perspective 43
3 Globalization in Capital Markets: Price Evidence 87
3.1 Exchange-risk-free nominal interest parity 87
3.2 Real interest-rate convergence 96
3.3 Purchasing power parity 103
3.4 Caveats: Price criteria 121
3.5 Summary 122
Part Three: The Political Economy of Capital Mobility 123
4 Globalization in Capital Markets: A Long-Run Narrative 126
4.1 Capital without constraints: The gold standard, 1870–1931 126
4.2 Crisis and compromise: Depression and war, 1931–1945 136
4.3 Containment then collapse: Bretton Woods, 1946–1972 151
4.4 Crisis and compromise II: Floating rates since 1973 160
4.5 Measuring integration using data on legal restrictions 164
4.6 Summary 168
5 Monetary Policy Interdependence and Exchange-Rate Regimes 172
5.1 Measuring interest-rate interdependence 174
5.2 Data sources 177
5.3 Persistence of nominal interest rates 180
5.4 Empirical findings: Pooled annual differences 183
5.5 Empirical findings: Individual-country dynamics 187
5.6 Summary 193
6 The Changing Nature of Government Credibility 195
6.1 Five suggestive cases 200
6.2 Econometric analysis 204
6.3 Summary 224
Part Four: Lessons for Today 227
7 Uneven Integration 230
7.1 Foreign capital stocks: Net versus gross 231
7.2 Foreign capital: Rich versus poor 232
7.3 Has foreign capital always been biased toward the rich? 243
7.4 How much have poor countries liberalized their markets? 250
7.5 Summary 257
8 Uneven Rewards and Risks 259
8.1 Borrowing to finance capital accumulation 260
8.2 The role of cost distortions 265
8.3 Financial opening and economic performance 271
8.4 The role of institutions 279
8.5 Capital controls and growth 285
8.6 Open markets, volatility, and crises 288
8.7 Summary
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