中國產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)研究

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2007年學(xué)位論文

內(nèi)容提要.............................................................................................................................I
ABSTRACT....................................................................................................................IV
導(dǎo)論................................................................................................................................1
一、選題背景、研究目的與意義.................................................................................1
二、國內(nèi)外研究文獻綜述.............................................................................................3
三、研究思路、框架結(jié)構(gòu).............................................................................................6
四、研究方法.................................................................................................................8
五、本文的創(chuàng)新之處及有待進一步研究的問題.........................................................9
第一章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的理論基礎(chǔ)..........................................................................9
1.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的概念與研究范疇的界定...................................................................10
1.1.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的概念.............................................................................................10
1.1.2廣義產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與狹義產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的關(guān)系.........................................................10
1.1.3本文研究范疇的界定......................................................................................11
1.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的理論依據(jù)........................................................................................14
1.2.1糾正市場失靈：產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的新古典理論依據(jù).............................................14
1.2.2順應(yīng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動規(guī)律：產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的動態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢理論依據(jù).................17
1.2.3推動創(chuàng)新與產(chǎn)業(yè)集群：產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的演進經(jīng)濟學(xué)理論依據(jù).........................19
1.2.4提升國家競爭力：產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的結(jié)構(gòu)主義理論依據(jù).....................................23
1.3產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的基本理論...........................................................................26
1.3.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的涵義.............................................................................26
1.3.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的意義.............................................................................27
1.3.3產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的原則與步驟.................................................................28
1.3.4產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的依據(jù).............................................................................30
1.3.5產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的內(nèi)容.............................................................................30
第二章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價模型與方法........................................................................31
2.1資源配置傾斜度的分析.......................................................................................32
2.2資源配置效應(yīng)評價方法.......................................................................................33
2.2.1資源總配置效應(yīng)的計算.................................................................................33
2.2.2全要素生產(chǎn)率增長率的計算.........................................................................35
2.3產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級化評價方法...................................................................................37
2.3.1產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級化的含義..................................................................................37
2.3.2產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級化的評價指標.........................................................................38
2.4市場結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率評價方法...................................................................43
2.4.1市場結(jié)構(gòu)評價方法.........................................................................................43
2.4.2產(chǎn)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率評價方法.................................................................................44
2.5產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新能力與國際競爭力評價方法.......................................................49
2.5.1技術(shù)創(chuàng)新與科技成果轉(zhuǎn)化能力評價體系.....................................................49
2.5.2產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力的評價.................................................................................50
2.6產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)評價的經(jīng)濟計量分析法...............................................................51
2.6.1格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗.....................................................................................51II
2.6.2向量自回歸（VAR）與協(xié)整分析方法.........................................................52
2.6.3方差分解法.....................................................................................................53
2.6.4一般均衡分析法.............................................................................................54
第三章中國產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的制定與實施............................................................................56
3.1中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)政策...............................................................................................56
3.1.1轉(zhuǎn)軌時期的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)政策..............................................................................56
3.1.2市場經(jīng)濟體制逐步確立時期的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)政策.............................................58
3.2中國產(chǎn)業(yè)組織政策...............................................................................................59
3.2.1轉(zhuǎn)軌時期的產(chǎn)業(yè)組織政策..............................................................................59
3.2.2市場經(jīng)濟體制逐步確立時期的產(chǎn)業(yè)組織政策..............................................61
3.3中國產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)政策...............................................................................................63
3.3.1轉(zhuǎn)軌時期的產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)政策..............................................................................63
3.3.2市場經(jīng)濟體制逐步確立時期的產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)政策..............................................64
3.4中國產(chǎn)業(yè)布局政策...............................................................................................66
3.4.1轉(zhuǎn)軌時期的的產(chǎn)業(yè)布局政策..........................................................................66
3.4.2區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略下的產(chǎn)業(yè)布局政策.........................................................68
第四章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的資源配置效應(yīng)..............................................................................71
4.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對資源配置的影響...............................................................................71
4.1.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對三次產(chǎn)業(yè)資源配置的影響.........................................................71
4.1.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對工業(yè)各行業(yè)資源配置的影響.....................................................80
4.2資源配置總體效應(yīng)：經(jīng)濟增長的視角.............................................................85
4.2.1三次產(chǎn)業(yè)資源的總配置效應(yīng)分析..................................................................85
4.2.2工業(yè)資源的配置效應(yīng).....................................................................................92
第五章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化效應(yīng)................................................................................95
5.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的影響.....................................................................95
5.1.1三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演化......................................................................................95
5.1.2產(chǎn)出比重變化的反應(yīng)彈性比較.....................................................................97
5.1.3生產(chǎn)要素密集型部門的升級變化.................................................................98
5.1.4重工業(yè)高加工度化的變化...........................................................................100
5.1.5產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)程度的變化...................................................................................103
5.1.6部門比較勞動生產(chǎn)率擴大...........................................................................104
5.1.7產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的非對稱性............................................................................106
5.2傾斜性產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)分析：以農(nóng)業(yè)為例........................................................107
5.2.1傾斜性產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的產(chǎn)出效應(yīng).......................................................................107
5.2.2傾斜性產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的收入效應(yīng).........................................................................112
5.3產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)政策效應(yīng)評價.......................................................................................113
第六章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的規(guī)模經(jīng)濟及效率效應(yīng)...................................................................115
6.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與規(guī)模經(jīng)濟..........................................................................................115
6.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與國有經(jīng)濟戰(zhàn)略性調(diào)整......................................................................117
6.3產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與產(chǎn)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率................................................................................122
6.3.1國民經(jīng)濟各行業(yè)的生產(chǎn)效率分析................................................................1236.3.2自然壟斷行業(yè)效率分析——以電信業(yè)與電力行業(yè)為例............................125
6.4產(chǎn)業(yè)組織政策效應(yīng)評價.......................................................................................130
第七章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的技術(shù)創(chuàng)新與產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力效應(yīng)..............................................131
7.1產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新能力分析.............................................................................................131
7.1.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與技術(shù)進步分析............................................................................131
7.1.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新能力綜合分析............................................................133
7.1.3產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新能力分析.......................................................137
7.1.4科技成果轉(zhuǎn)化能力分析——以高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)為例........................................138
7.2產(chǎn)業(yè)的國際競爭力分析.....................................................................................139
7.2.1產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力綜合分析...........................................................................139
7.2.2高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的國際競爭力分析...................................................................143
7.3產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)政策效應(yīng)評價......................................................................................147
第八章產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的產(chǎn)業(yè)布局與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展效應(yīng)........................................149
8.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對區(qū)域資源配置的影響.....................................................................149
8.1.1區(qū)域資源配置的變化...................................................................................149
8.1.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對于外商直接投資的影響...........................................................152
8.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)的影響.....................................................................153
8.2.1區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長的差異...................................................................................153
8.2.2區(qū)域三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的比較...........................................................................153
8.2.3區(qū)域工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的比較....................................................................................154
8.2.4產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的狀況...........................................................................................156
8.3資源的區(qū)域配置效應(yīng).........................................................................................161
8.4產(chǎn)業(yè)布局政策效應(yīng)評價......................................................................................163
第九章中國產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)弱化的成因及對策建議..................................................165
9.1中國產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)弱化的形成原因分析..........................................................165
9.1.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策運行的微觀基礎(chǔ)發(fā)生了根本性改變............................................165
9.1.2國內(nèi)外新環(huán)境下產(chǎn)業(yè)政策面臨的兩難境地...............................................168
9.1.3產(chǎn)業(yè)政策與其他經(jīng)濟政策之間缺乏協(xié)調(diào)一致...........................................169
9.2增強產(chǎn)業(yè)政策效應(yīng)的對策建議..........................................................................171
9.2.1產(chǎn)業(yè)政策框架的重新審視............................................................................172
9.2.2產(chǎn)業(yè)政策的轉(zhuǎn)型與規(guī)范...............................................................................174
9.3.3產(chǎn)業(yè)政策應(yīng)與其它政策協(xié)調(diào)一致...............................................................176
參考文獻.....................................................................................................................183
致謝..........................................................................................................................197
攻讀學(xué)位期間發(fā)表論文以及參加科研情況................................................................198

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